KBRA Releases Research – KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium Update: December 2025

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases the December 2025 issue of the KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium, providing updated loss estimates for all 386 KBRA-rated outstanding conduit transactions. The report, together with the accompanying spreadsheet, also includes data on lifetime realized losses for 17 conduits whose ratings have been withdrawn following payoffs.

The compendium uses the following two metrics to present the loss figures: KBRA Lifetime Base Loss (KLBL), which represents our loss estimate for each transaction during its lifetime as a percentage of its original balance; and KBRA Future Base Loss (KFBL), which represents potential future losses as a percentage of outstanding deal balance as of the most recent rating action date.

As of December 2025, the average KLBL (as a % of original deal balance) reached 5.8% (ranging from 2% to 23.8%)—the highest recorded level to date. This compares to 5.5% in June 2025 and 5.3% in December 2024. The average KFBL (as a % of review date deal balance) increased to 12.5% (ranging from 2.7% to 94.4%). This marks a continued upward trend, increasing from 10.9% in June 2025 and 9.9% in December 2024. The continued upward trend in our loss estimates reflects increased losses in the more seasoned vintages and an increase in KBRA’s conduit distress rate—which includes both delinquent loans and current but specially serviced loans— increasing 195 basis points (bps) over the past year to 12.2% as of December 2025.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

• KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium: December 2025 Spreadsheet
• CMBS Loan Performance Trends: December 2025
• Conduit CMBS Default and Loss Study Update: 2.0 Begins to Make Its Mark
• KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium Update: June 2025
• KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium Update: December 2024

About KBRA

KBRA, one of the major credit rating agencies, is registered in the U.S., EU, and the UK. KBRA is recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency in Taiwan, and is also a Designated Rating Organization for structured finance ratings in Canada. As a full-service credit rating agency, investors can use KBRA ratings for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

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