-

KBRA Releases Research – Auto Loan ABS: Recoveries Pressured by Declining Valuations

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases a research report analyzing auto loan ABS recovery rates. Over the past year, auto loan ABS recovery rates have been trending down, hitting their lowest January reading since 2010 in KBRA’s Prime and Non-Prime Auto Loan Indices. The decline mainly reflects falling used vehicle values which increased to record highs during the pandemic, as well as higher repossession costs. We expect recovery rates to remain at depressed levels throughout 2024, as defaults over the next year are likely to include a large portion of defaulting loans originated during the time of heightened automobile valuations. This will inevitably place upward pressure on securitized net losses.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Doc ID: 1003290

Contacts

Brian Ford, Head of Structured Finance Research
+1 646-731-2329
brian.ford@kbra.com

Kaci Emrich, Analyst
+1 646-731-1216
kaci.emrich@kbra.com

Brajean Ramos, Senior Analyst
+1 646-731-2417
brajean.ramos@kbra.com

Business Development

Rosemary Kelley, Senior Managing Director, Head of Structured Finance and Project Finance
+1 646-731-2337
rosemary.kelley@kbra.com

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC

Details
Headquarters: New York City, New York
CEO: Jim Nadler
Employees: 400+
Organization: PRI

Release Versions

Contacts

Brian Ford, Head of Structured Finance Research
+1 646-731-2329
brian.ford@kbra.com

Kaci Emrich, Analyst
+1 646-731-1216
kaci.emrich@kbra.com

Brajean Ramos, Senior Analyst
+1 646-731-2417
brajean.ramos@kbra.com

Business Development

Rosemary Kelley, Senior Managing Director, Head of Structured Finance and Project Finance
+1 646-731-2337
rosemary.kelley@kbra.com

Social Media Profiles
More News From Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC

KBRA Assigns AA+ Rating, Negative Outlook to the City of New York General Obligation Bonds, Fiscal 2026 Series F and G, and General Obligation Bonds, Fiscal 2026 Series 1

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns a long-term rating of AA+ to the City of New York General Obligation Bonds, Fiscal 2026 Series F and G, and General Obligation Bonds, Fiscal 2026 Series 1. The Outlook is Negative. Concurrently, KBRA affirms the long-term rating of AA+ on outstanding City of New York General Obligation Bonds, and revises the Outlook to Negative from Stable. The outlook revision reflects the City’s FY 2027 Preliminary Budget (the “Preliminary Budget”, or “the financial pla...

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2026-HE1 (GSMBS 2026-HE1)

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 6 classes of mortgage-backed notes from GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2026-HE1 (GSMBS 2026-HE1), a $301.4 million RMBS transaction sponsored by Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company (Goldman Sachs or GSMC), consisting of first lien (6.6%) and second lien (93.4%) home equity line of credit (HELOC) loans. The underlying pool is seasoned approximately six months and comprises 3,092 loans, with United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM; 79.5%)...

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Rating to AMCR ABS Trust 2026-A

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns a preliminary rating to one class of notes issued by AMCR ABS Trust 2026-A (“AMCR 2026-A”), an unsecured consumer loan ABS transaction. AMCR 2026-A has initial hard credit enhancement of 44.2% for the Class A notes. Credit enhancement is comprised of overcollateralization, subordination (except for the Class D notes), a cash reserve account funded at closing, and excess spread. AMCR 2026-A will issue four classes of notes totaling $149.3 million, with KBR...
Back to Newsroom