-

KBRA Releases Monthly CMBS Trend Watch

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases the November 2023 issue of CMBS Trend Watch.

Four conduits priced in November—a milestone event. No more than three had priced in any single month for 20 consecutive months, dating back to February 2022. Furthermore, up to six deals could be announced in December, including three single-borrower (SB), two conduits, and one Freddie Mac K-Series deal. Should that occur, it will be a strong finish to a rather dismal issuance year, as year-over-year (YoY) volume is down 49.3%.

We are hopeful the market’s growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 1H 2024 is a harbinger of a better year. Regardless, January could represent a strong start, as there may be up to five conduits, five SBs, and one Freddie Mac K-Series that could launch during the month.

In November, KBRA published pre-sales for five deals ($4.1 billion) including four conduits ($2.9 billion) and one Agency ($1.2 billion). November’s surveillance activity included a review of the ratings of 733 securities issued in connection with 65 transactions. Of the 733 ratings, 679 were affirmed, 37 were downgraded, and 17 were upgraded.

This month’s edition also highlights recent KBRA research publications, which cover various topical issues.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Contacts

Aryansh Agrawal, Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-1381
aryansh.agrawal@kbra.com

Larry Kay, Senior Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-2452
larry.kay@kbra.com

Business Development Contact

Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 646-731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com

KBRA

Details
Headquarters: New York City, New York
CEO: Jim Nadler
Employees: 400+
Organization: PRI

Release Versions

Contacts

Aryansh Agrawal, Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-1381
aryansh.agrawal@kbra.com

Larry Kay, Senior Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-2452
larry.kay@kbra.com

Business Development Contact

Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 646-731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com

More News From KBRA

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2026-CES1 (GSMBS 2026-CES1)

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 6 classes of mortgage-backed notes from GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2026-CES1 (GSMBS 2026-CES1), a $319.2 million RMBS transaction sponsored by Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, entirely of closed-end second lien mortgages (CES; 100.0%). The underlying pool is seasoned approximately 7.4 months and comprises 3,961 loans, with AmeriSave Mortgage Corporation (52.4%) as the largest contributing originator. The collateral is charac...

KBRA Releases Research – Loan vs. Lease Aviation ABS: Same Plane, Different Seats

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases research assessing the aviation loan ABS market, highlighting its growth, credit considerations, and evolving role within aviation structured finance. Since the inaugural aviation loan issuances in 2021, the aviation loan asset-backed securities (ABS) sector has experienced continued growth, reaching $4.8 billion in total notional volume through 2025. Collateral in aviation loan ABS typically consists of loans directly to airlines (generally full-recours...

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to OBX 2026-J1 Trust

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 76 classes of mortgage pass-through notes from OBX 2026-J1 Trust, a $366.7 million prime RMBS transaction. The underlying collateral, comprising 298 fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans is characterized by moderate borrower equity, as evidenced by the WA original LTV of 70.9%, and has a WA original credit score of 783. KBRA’s rating approach incorporated loan-level analysis of the mortgage pool through its Residential Asset Loss Model...
Back to Newsroom