-

KBRA Releases Research — Auto Loan ABS: Rough Road Ahead?

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases research that explores the current divergence between auto loan delinquencies and loss rates, as well as our expectation for increasing headwinds for auto loan credit fundamentals over the coming months.

Government stimulus, a strong labor market, and a sharp rise in used vehicle prices helped to push auto loan delinquency and loss rates to historic lows in 2020 and 2021. However, given the recent and expected rate hikes as central banks desperately battle inflation, improving vehicle manufacturing logistics, and strong recessionary signals, the benign credit environment of the past two years may be in the rearview mirror.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publication

About KBRA
KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Contacts

Analytical Contact
Brian Ford, CFA, Managing Director
Structured Finance Research
+1 (646) 731-2329
brian.ford@kbra.com

Business Development Contact
Ted Burbage, Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-3325
ted.burbage@kbra.com

KBRA

Details
Headquarters: New York City, New York
CEO: Jim Nadler
Employees: 400+
Organization: PRI

Release Versions

Contacts

Analytical Contact
Brian Ford, CFA, Managing Director
Structured Finance Research
+1 (646) 731-2329
brian.ford@kbra.com

Business Development Contact
Ted Burbage, Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-3325
ted.burbage@kbra.com

More News From KBRA

KBRA Releases Research – REIT Consolidation: Structural Drivers, Deal Activity, and Credit Implications

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases research examining the U.S. REIT sector, which has entered a period of accelerated consolidation, with public-to-public mergers, take-privates, and strategic acquisitions gaining momentum. Nareit estimates that announced deal value for listed REIT acquisitions reached approximately $24 billion in 2025, nearly double 2024 levels, with activity accelerating in the second half and continuing into early 2026. In KBRA’s view, the recent wave reflects a struct...

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Rating to FNA 9, LLC

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns a preliminary rating to one class of notes issued by FNA 9, LLC (FNA 9), a $270.0 million property tax lien ABS transaction. FNA 9 represents the Company’s seventh public tax lien ABS securitization. Proceeds from the Notes will be used to acquire a portfolio of 9,249 property tax lien assets from municipalities within 13 states, including Texas (53.2%), Florida (19.9%), and New Jersey (8.4%), with a redemptive value of approximately $157.0 million (the I...

KBRA Releases Research – Private Credit: Deep Dive on AI and Software

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases research examining the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on software and private credit portfolios. In KBRA’s view, AI poses diffuse and manageable credit risks to software companies held by direct lenders. While some sponsor-backed borrowers with near-term maturities and structural exposure to AI disruption may face significant pressure—contributing to a modest increase in overall default rates—we find that most software-adjacent borrowers have bus...
Back to Newsroom