Fitch: High-Yield ETF Outflows Surge as Risk Appetite Shifts

NEW YORK--()--A sharp reversal in investor risk appetite over the past month has triggered a significant shift in high-yield exchange-traded fund (ETF) investment flows, contributing to an 11% decline in assets since July 11, according to Fitch Ratings.

Our analysis of the top 10 high-yield bond ETFs, based on Bloomberg data, indicates that aggregate fund outflows totalled $3.5 billion over the four-week period between July 11 and August 8, with investment inflows seen on only 4 of 21 trading days during that period. The $3.5 billion outflow figure tops the largest rolling four-week outflow total of $3.1 billion during the "taper tantrum" in May and June of 2013.

A surge in redemption activity has driven most of the drop in high-yield ETF assets since early July, with average net asset values (NAVs) falling modestly. Between July 11 and August 8, total assets for the 10 high-yield ETFs we studied fell from $36.5 billion to $32.7 billion.

In contrast to the heavy bond ETF trading period last year, when both high-yield and investment grade funds reported sharp rises in volumes, the recent spike in activity has been seen only among high-yield ETFs. During the week ended August 1, high-yield ETF trading volume exceeded investment grade by $4.1 billion. This was about four times the average spread in trading activity between the two categories during our study period, which began at the start of 2013.

High-yield ETFs have grown in importance as trading vehicles for fixed-income investors, particularly since May 2013, when the Fed first began discussing the likelihood of a tapering of quantitative easing. Growth in high-yield ETF volumes has outpaced growth in underlying bond trading volumes this year.

For a detailed review of changes in high-yield ETF trading activity since early 2013, see the special report "High-Yield ETFs (Increased ETF Volume as Bond Trading Slows)" dated May 8, 2014, at www.fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

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Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

High-Yield ETFs (Increased ETF Volume as Bond Trading Slows)

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=748050

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Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Bill Warlick, +1 312-368-3141
Senior Director
Macro Credit Research
or
Robert Grossman, +1 212-908-0535
Managing Director
Macro Credit Research
or
Kellie Geressy-Nilsen, +1 212-908-9123
Senior Director
FitchWire
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
33 Whitehall Street
New York, NY 10004
or
Media Relations:
Brian Bertsch, +1 212-908-0549
brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com

Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Bill Warlick, +1 312-368-3141
Senior Director
Macro Credit Research
or
Robert Grossman, +1 212-908-0535
Managing Director
Macro Credit Research
or
Kellie Geressy-Nilsen, +1 212-908-9123
Senior Director
FitchWire
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
33 Whitehall Street
New York, NY 10004
or
Media Relations:
Brian Bertsch, +1 212-908-0549
brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com