-

KBRA Releases Research – Climate Scenario Forecasting for Major Issuers: Widespread and Scientific

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases a report detailing the use of climate scenario forecasting and related vulnerability assessments by major municipal issuers in the U.S.

Municipalities across the country are trying to find systematic and data-driven methods of addressing the threat of climate change. However, uncertainty about future emissions levels, long time horizons, and the wide range of potential hazards are among the reasons climate-related risks are challenging to quantify. Still, despite these hurdles and the complexity of environmental science, a review of some of the largest KBRA-rated state and local governments suggests that sophisticated climate scenario forecasts are more common than what may be expected.

Key Takeaways

  • Climate scenario forecasting has already been utilized by large state and local governments in various parts of the U.S., often projecting temperatures and precipitation through the end of the century.
  • These governments tend to leverage existing scientific frameworks and task universities with conducting the analysis.
  • Intergovernmental projects, funding, or mandates are ways that forecasting and vulnerability assessments are spreading.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Contacts

Yang Li, Associate Director
+1 (646) 731-1216
yang.li@kbra.com

Karen Daly, Senior Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-2347
karen.daly@kbra.com

Business Development Contacts

Bill Baneky, Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-2409
william.baneky@kbra.com

James Kissane, Senior Director
+1 (213) 806-0026
james.kissane@kbra.com

KBRA

Details
Headquarters: New York City, New York
CEO: Jim Nadler
Employees: 400+
Organization: PRI

Release Versions

Contacts

Yang Li, Associate Director
+1 (646) 731-1216
yang.li@kbra.com

Karen Daly, Senior Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-2347
karen.daly@kbra.com

Business Development Contacts

Bill Baneky, Managing Director
+1 (646) 731-2409
william.baneky@kbra.com

James Kissane, Senior Director
+1 (213) 806-0026
james.kissane@kbra.com

More News From KBRA

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to PMT Loan Trust 2026-CNF3

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 44 classes of mortgage-backed notes from PMT Loan Trust 2026-CNF3 (PMTLT 2026-CNF3), a prime RMBS transaction sponsored by PennyMac Corp. (PennyMac), an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT). PMTLT 2026-CNF3 comprises 589 agency-eligible, conforming mortgage loans with an aggregate stated principal balance of approximately $322.7 million as of the March 1, 2026 cut-off date. The underlying col...

KBRA Releases Research – Anatomy of Loss in Single-Borrower CMBS: A Loan-Level Analysis

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA releases research examining loss severities in the single-asset single borrower (SASB) commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) sector. SASB transactions have grown to dominate post-global financial crisis (GFC) issuance, and while loan defaults in the sector have risen sharply since the onset of the pandemic, the sector's overall loss rate remains limited, as nearly three-quarters of SASB loans resolved after default experienced minimal to no loss. When loss...

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2026-INV2 (SEMT 2026-INV2)

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--KBRA assigns preliminary ratings to 71 classes of mortgage pass-through certificates from Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2026-INV2 (SEMT 2026-INV2). The transaction consists of 1,118 investment property mortgages with an aggregate principal balance of $438.4 million as of the March 1, 2026 cut-off date. The collateral is characterized by a weighted average (WA) original credit score of 770 and moderate borrower equity, with a WA original LTV and WA original CLTV of 73.2%. KBR...
Back to Newsroom