KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to CGCMT 2018-C5

NEW YORK--()--Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) is pleased to announce the assignment of preliminary ratings to 15 classes of CGCMT 2018-C5 (see ratings list below), a $668.2 million CMBS conduit transaction collateralized by 39 commercial mortgage loans secured by 45 properties.

The collateral properties are located in 21 states, with four state exposures each representing more than 10.0% of the pool balance: New York (15.7%), Ohio (13.1%), New Jersey (12.2%), and California (11.3%). The pool has exposure to all of the major property types, with four each representing 10.0% or more of the pool balance: multifamily (32.9%), office (21.8%), retail (18.0%) and mixed use (16.3%). The loans have principal balances ranging from $1.7 million to $65.0 million for the largest loan in the pool, 636 11th Avenue (9.7%), which is comprised of a 564,004 sf Class-A office building located in the Hell’s Kitchen neighborhood of New York City’s borough of Manhattan. The five largest loans, which also include 65 Bay Street (9.0%), Flats at East Bank (8.8%), DreamWorks Campus (5.5%) and The Retreat by Watermark (5.2%), represent 38.2% of the initial pool balance, while the top 10 loans represent 57.8%.

KBRA’s analysis of the transaction incorporated our multi-borrower rating process that begins with our analysts' evaluation of the underlying collateral properties' financial and operating performance, which determine KBRA’s estimate of sustainable net cash flow (KNCF) and KBRA value using our CMBS Property Evaluation Methodology. On an aggregate basis, KNCF was 5.9% less than the issuer cash flow. KBRA capitalization rates were applied to each asset’s KNCF to derive values that were, on an aggregate basis, 42.4% less than third party appraisal values. The pool has an in-trust KLTV of 95.0% and an all-in KLTV of 113.3%. The model deploys rent and occupancy stresses, probability of default regressions, and loss given default calculations to determine losses for each collateral loan that are then used to assign our credit ratings.

For complete details on the analysis, please see our pre-sale report, CGCMT 2018-C5 published today at www.kbra.com. The report includes our CGCMT 2018-C5 KBRA Conduit Comparative Analytic Tool (KCAT), an easy to use, Excel-based workbook that provides the following information:

  • KBRA Deal Tape – Contains KBRA loan level details for every loan in the pool, and the ability for users to input adjustments to KNCF and KBRA Cap Rates and see the related impact on key deal metrics.
  • KBRA Credit Metrics Comparison Tool – Enables the user to compare the subject transaction to a user-defined transaction comp set. The feature provides many of the fields that are included in our CMBS Monthly Trend Watch publication.
  • Excel-based property cash flow statements for the top 20 loans.

Preliminary Ratings Assigned: CGCMT 2018-C5

Class       Initial Class Balance       Expected KBRA Rating
A-1       $10,000,000       AAA(sf)
A-2       $41,000,000       AAA(sf)
A-3       $185,000,000       AAA(sf)
A-4       $208,766,000       AAA(sf)
A-AB       $23,000,000       AAA(sf)
A-S       $55,965,000       AAA(sf)
B       $28,400,000       AA(sf)
C       $29,236,000       A(sf)
D       $20,782,0001       BBB+(sf)
E-RR2       $14,300,0001       BBB-(sf)
F-RR2       $15,871,000       BB(sf)
G-RR2       $6,682,000       B+(sf)
H-RR2       $29,236,381       NR
X-A       $523,731,0003       AAA(sf)
X-B       $57,636,0003       AAA(sf)
X-D       $20,782,0001,3       BBB+(sf)
1Approximate initial certificate balances. The certificate balances of the Class D and Class E-RR certificates (and accordingly, the approximate notional balance of the Class X-D certificates) will not be determined until final pricing. However, the aggregate certificate balance of the Class D and Class E-RR certificates is expected to be approximately $35,082,000. Each class’ initial certificate balance is expected to fall within the following ranges: Class D - $19,646,000 to $21,918,000; and Class E-RR - $13,164,000 to $15,436,000. The notional balance of the Class X-D certificates will be equal to the certificate balance of the Class D certificates. Credit enhancement for the Class D is expected to fall within a range of 10.060% to 9.720%.
2In satisfaction of the US Risk Retention rules, these classes will be purchased and retained by a third-party purchaser on the closing date. Such classes will represent an “eligible horizontal residual interest” and will represent at least 5.0% of the fair market value of all non-residual certificates issued.
3Notional balance.

Representations & Warranties Disclosure

All Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations are required, pursuant to SEC Rule 17g-7, to provide a description of a transaction’s representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms that are available to investors when issuing credit ratings. KBRA’s disclosure for this transaction can be found in the report available here.

Related Publications: (available at www.kbra.com)

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About KBRA and KBRA Europe

KBRA is a full service credit rating agency registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. In addition, KBRA is recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider and a certified Credit Rating Agency (CRA) by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered with ESMA as a CRA.

Contacts

Kroll Bond Rating Agency
Analytical Contacts:
Courtney Kelly, Associate
(646) 731-3362
ckelly@kbra.com
or
Yee Cent Wong, Senior Managing Director
(646) 731-2374
ywong@kbra.com
or
James Wang, Senior Director
(646) 731-2450
jwang@kbra.com
or
Dayna Carley, Senior Director
(646) 731-2391
dcarley@kbra.com

Contacts

Kroll Bond Rating Agency
Analytical Contacts:
Courtney Kelly, Associate
(646) 731-3362
ckelly@kbra.com
or
Yee Cent Wong, Senior Managing Director
(646) 731-2374
ywong@kbra.com
or
James Wang, Senior Director
(646) 731-2450
jwang@kbra.com
or
Dayna Carley, Senior Director
(646) 731-2391
dcarley@kbra.com