NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Fitch Ratings expects to assign the following ratings to Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2014-4, Ltd./LLC:
--$350,375,000 class A-1 notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
--$10,000,000 class A-2 notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the class B, C, D, E, F or subordinated notes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2014-4, Ltd. (the issuer) and Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2014-4, LLC (the co-issuer), together comprise an arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Carlyle Investment Management L.L.C. (CIM). A portion of net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will be used to repay parties that provided interim financing, allowing the issuer to purchase collateral prior to the closing date. The remainder of net proceeds will be used to purchase assets to reach a target portfolio of approximately $557 million of primarily senior secured leveraged loans. The CLO will have a four-year reinvestment period and a two-year non-call period.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Sufficient Credit Enhancement: Credit enhancement (CE) of 35.3% for class A-1 and A-2 (together, class A) notes, in addition to excess spread, is sufficient to protect against portfolio default and recovery rate projections in an 'AAAsf' stress scenario. The degree of CE available to class A notes is lower than the average CE of recent CLO issuances; however, cash flow modeling indicates performance in line with other 'AAAsf' CLO notes.
'B' Asset Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative portfolio is 'B', which represents credit quality similar to recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, in Fitch's opinion, class A notes are unlikely to be affected by the foreseeable level of defaults. Class A notes are projected to be able to withstand default rates of up to 61.2%.
Strong Recovery Expectations: The indicative portfolio consists of 94.3% first lien senior secured loans. Approximately 86.9% of the indicative portfolio has either strong recovery prospects or a Fitch-assigned Recovery Rating of 'RR2' or higher, resulting in a base case recovery assumption of 75%. In determining the rating of class A notes, Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for higher rating stress assumptions. The analysis of class A notes assumed a 35.1% recovery rate in Fitch's 'AAAsf' scenario.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Fitch evaluated the structure's sensitivity to the potential variability of key model assumptions, including decreases in recovery rates and increases in default rates or correlation. Fitch expects the class A notes to remain investment grade even under the most extreme sensitivity scenarios. Results under these sensitivity scenarios ranged between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for the class A notes.
The expected ratings are based on information provided to Fitch as of Sept. 19, 2014. Sources of information used to assess these ratings were provided by the arranger, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, and the public domain. Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described in the accompanying presale report.
The presale report is available to investors on Fitch's web site at www.fitchratings.com. For more information about Fitch's comprehensive subscription service FitchResearch, which includes all presale reports, surveillance and credit reports on more than 20 asset classes, contact product sales at +1-212-908-0800 or at 'webmaster@fitchratings.com'.
Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
--'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' (Aug. 4, 2014);
--'Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs' (July 25, 2014);
--'Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions and Covered Bonds' (Jan. 23, 2014);
--'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds' (May 14, 2014).
Applicable Criteria and Related Research: Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2014-4, Ltd./LLC (US Structured Credit)
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=777268
Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=744158
Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions and Covered Bonds
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=725537
Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=753057
Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=754389
Additional Disclosure
Solicitation Status
http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=878914
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