Fitch Affirms HonorHealth (AZ) Rev Bonds 'A'; Stable Outlook

SAN FRANCISCO--()--Fitch Ratings has affirmed the 'A' rating on HonorHealth's (HH) outstanding debt, which is listed at the end of this press release. HH is the new name (effective date March 2015) of the merged entity - Scottsdale Healthcare Hospitals (SHH) and John C. Lincoln Health Network and affiliates (JCL). SHH and JCL affiliated in October 2013 and merged in January 2015. The series 2014 financing consolidated the debt under one obligated group.

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

SECURITY

Debt payments are secured by a pledge of the gross revenues of the obligated group, which includes SHH and JCL. The obligated group accounted for 83% of total assets and 90% of total revenue of the consolidated entity through the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2016. Fitch's analysis is based on the consolidated entity.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

INITIAL INTEGRATION BENEFITS ACHIEVED: HH has accomplished the initial integration goals since the affiliation in October 2013 and cost savings outlined at that time have been achieved. These benefits have been offset by market challenges including declining volume and an erosion in payor mix as well as continued strategic investments in information technology and ambulatory expansion. The organization is well positioned to leverage the next level of opportunities of the new branded entity especially with a common IT platform complete.

MAJOR INVESTMENTS MADE: HH completed the implementation of Epic and the entire organization is on a common IT platform effective October 2016. The cost of the implementation was under budget and is expected to result in further improvement in revenue cycle management.

ADEQUATE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: Although certain metrics lag the 'A' category medians, HH's financial profile is consistent with the rating level. Operating performance is expected to improve over the medium term as further benefits of the integration are realized. Balance sheet metrics also remain satisfactory despite the higher level of capital spending.

GOOD GEOGRAPHIC FOOTPRINT: HH has facilities in the desirable service area in northern Phoenix and this footprint makes HH an attractive partner in contracting strategies and HH continues to pursue increasing exposure to risk based contracts.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

FURTHER IMPROVEMENT IN PERFORMANCE: Fitch expects HonorHealth's financial performance to improve as it continues to leverage its greater scale and realize further benefits from the integration, especially as service line reconfiguration will be a focus in the near term. An improvement in operating cash flow and balance sheet metrics would likely lead to upward rating movement.

EXPANSION PLANS: HonorHealth has bed expansion plans that could be funded from an additional debt issuance. Fitch will assess the impact of these plans on HH's rating when plans are finalized.

CREDIT PROFILE

HH includes five hospitals, one free standing emergency department, eight outpatient clinics, 43 primary care locations, five immediate care locations and 304 employed physicians located in the northern Phoenix/Scottsdale market. Total revenue in fiscal 2015 (December 31 year end) was $1.6 billion.

BENEFITS OF INTEGRATION

On Oct. 1, 2013, SHH and JCL entered into an affiliation agreement and the entities merged as of January 2015. The organization was renamed HH in March 2015. The integration has been successful with cost savings targeted at an annual benefit of $200 million achieved. Integration activities include common governance and management, standardization of support functions and contracting, and leveraging economies of scale. The debt was also consolidated under one master trust indenture with the series 2014 financing.

In addition to integration activities, significant investments have been made in information technology as well as the ambulatory network to continue to position the organization for population health management. These investments in addition to market headwinds have offset the cost savings achieved with the integration.

Fitch expects HH to improve its operating performance over the medium term as additional benefits from the next level of integration opportunities are executed. These include service line reconfiguration as well as leveraging its common IT platform.

HH's market position is desirable in the northern Phoenix market, which makes the organization an attractive partner as it pursues more risk based contracting. HH has participated in a narrow network strategy with Banner Health (rated 'AA-'/ Stable) for a Medicare Advantage plan and HH will now be at risk for the performance of this product.

ADEQUATE FINANCIAL PROFILE

HH's performance has been stable in 2014 and 2015 with a compression in operating performance through the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2016. Operating margin was 1.9% through the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2016 compared to 2.6% in 2015 and 2.7% in 2014 and the A category median of 3.8%. Market headwinds include softening volume and a slight erosion in payor mix.

The balance sheet has remained relatively stable despite elevated capital spending; however, HH did draw $30 million on a line of credit in 2016 to fund a land acquisition. Unrestricted cash and investments totaled $779.5 million at Sept. 30, 2016, which equated to 187.9 days cash on hand and 110.4% cash to debt. HH has a fairly significant amount of restricted funds raised by the foundation solely for the benefit of HH. HH maintained $148 million of endowment and donor restricted funds in 2015.

The debt burden is slightly above average and MADS of $40.1 million accounted for 3.5% of total revenue in 2015. Debt service coverage is good at 4.8x through the nine months ended Sept, 30, 2016, 4.8x in 2015 and 5.3x in 2014.

CAPITAL SPENDING

Total capital spending has been elevated the last few years due to the implementation of Epic at SHC. Future capital spending is manageable and includes a bed expansion strategy as well as additional outpatient facilities, including oncology. Capital spending is projected to total $189 million in 2016, $97.8 million in 2017, $102.5 million in 2018, and $104 million in 2019 as compared to annual depreciation expense of about $89 million.

HH may issue additional debt in the next year to fund a portion of its capital plan. Fitch will assess the impact on the rating when plans are finalized.

DEBT PROFILE

Total outstanding debt at Dec. 31, 2015 was $667 million with a debt mix of 74% fixed rate and 26% variable rate. HH has several direct bank loans (2014 taxable note, series 2015A&B bonds) that are subject to renewal risk. Fitch believes HH's access to capital mitigates this risk. The covenants under the direct bank loan are more restrictive than those in the amended and restated MTI, which will be in effect when the insured bonds are paid off (series 2006C and 2006F).

DISCLOSURE

HH covenants to provide quarterly disclosure within 60 days of quarter end for the first three quarters and annual financial disclosure within 150 days of the end of the fiscal year to EMMA.

Outstanding debt:

--$336,810,000 Arizona Health Facilities Authority (AZ) (Scottsdale Lincoln Hospitals Project) revenue bonds series 2014A;

--$52,406,000 Scottsdale Industrial Development Authority (AZ) (Scottsdale Healthcare) hospital revenue refunding bonds series 2008A;

--$89,327,000 Scottsdale Industrial Development Authority (AZ) (Scottsdale Healthcare) hospital revenue bonds series 2006F (insured: Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.);

--$58,174,000 Scottsdale Industrial Development Authority (AZ) (Scottsdale Healthcare) hospital revenue refunding bonds series 2006C (insured: Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.).

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Applicable Criteria

Revenue-Supported Rating Criteria (pub. 16 Jun 2014)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/750012

U.S. Nonprofit Hospitals and Health Systems Rating Criteria (pub. 09 Jun 2015)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/866807

Additional Disclosures

Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=1015788

Solicitation Status

https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1015788

Endorsement Policy

https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory

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Contacts

Fitch Ratings
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Emily Wong
Senior Director
+1-415-732-5620
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
650 California Street
San Francisco, CA 94108
or
Secondary Analyst
Dmitry Feofilaktov
Associate Director
+1-212-908-0345
or
Committee Chairperson
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Senior Director
+1-312-368-2059
or
Media Relations:
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Email: elizabeth.fogerty@fitchratings.com

Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Emily Wong
Senior Director
+1-415-732-5620
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
650 California Street
San Francisco, CA 94108
or
Secondary Analyst
Dmitry Feofilaktov
Associate Director
+1-212-908-0345
or
Committee Chairperson
Jim LeBuhn
Senior Director
+1-312-368-2059
or
Media Relations:
Elizabeth Fogerty, New York, +1 212-908-0526
Email: elizabeth.fogerty@fitchratings.com