Attacks in Syria Up Post Russian Airstrikes, IHS Jane’s Says

Review of attacks carried out or attributed to Islamic State in 2015 shows numbers only dip in Iraq following airstrikes, not Syria

Islamic State attacks and fatalities in Syria and Iraq (January 2015 - December 2015) (Graphic: Business Wire)

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LONDON--()--IHS Inc. (NYSE: IHS), the leading global source of critical information and insight, today announced findings from its review of worldwide Islamic State attacks in 2015.

“Following the start of airstrikes and Russian intervention in late September 2015, the number of Islamic State attacks in Iraq declined in the last quarter of the year, however, the number of attacks in Syria increased,” said Matthew Henman, head of IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre.

“This is somewhat a consequence of the growing pressure the Islamic State has come under in Iraq,” Henman said. “In Syria, the group has had more room to maneuver and, at least for the time being, have retained the ability to relocate fighters between different front-lines.”

The IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre (JTIC) database recorded a total of 935 attacks claimed by or attributed to the Islamic State between 1 October and 31 December 2015, an average of 10.2 attacks per day. This is a 5.6 percent decrease in the average daily attack numbers from the preceding quarter (1 July to 30 September). However, the average daily attack figure was 5.2 percent higher than the preceding 12 month average of 9.7 attacks per day.

While the recorded level of attacks and fatalities decreased slightly between the third and fourth quarters of 2015, both figures continued to track above the average recorded over the preceding 12 months. The overall consistency in the level of Islamic State violence is illustrated in that the average number of fatalities per attack remained constant at 3.0 between the two quarters, in comparison to a lesser 2.8 over the preceding 12 month period.

The 10 October Ankara attack highlighted a notable trend over the fourth quarter, in that while the only new Islamic State wilaya announced was Wilayat Bahrain – although this remains unconfirmed – there was an increasing proliferation of official Islamic State attacks conducted beyond the borders of its officially declared wilayaat. The most notable was the coordinated attacks in Paris on 13 November, along with an attack the preceding day in the Lebanese capital Beirut. In addition, the Islamic State claimed responsibility for a series of six attacks in Bangladesh in the period, underscoring the group’s growing operational presence.

About JTIC

The IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre uses open source data to build its global database of terrorist and insurgent events. The database enables users to search by location, target, group (active and dormant), tactics and casualty numbers in order to quickly obtain actionable intelligence and/or data. The database includes over 200,000 events since 2009 and over 250 group profiles. Information from social media that could not be verified through conventional and trusted news sources is not included in the data.

About IHS Jane’s (www.janes.com)

IHS Jane’s, part of IHS Inc. (NYSE: IHS), is the leading open source information provider and conference organiser on defence, international risk and national security to governments, militaries, industries and academia around the globe. IHS is the leading source of insight, analytics and expertise in critical areas that shape today’s business landscape. IHS has been in business since 1959 and became a publicly traded company on the New York Stock Exchange in 2005. Headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, USA, IHS is committed to sustainable, profitable growth and employs approximately 8,600 people in 32 countries around the world.

IHS is a registered trademark of IHS Inc. All other company and product names may be trademarks of their respective owners. © 2016 IHS Inc. All rights reserved.

Contacts

IHS Inc.
News Media Contact:
Amanda Russo, +44 208 276 4727
amanda.russo@ihs.com
or
Press Team, +1 303-305-8021
press@ihs.com

Release Summary

Attacks in Syria Up Post Russian Airstrikes, IHS Jane’s Says

Contacts

IHS Inc.
News Media Contact:
Amanda Russo, +44 208 276 4727
amanda.russo@ihs.com
or
Press Team, +1 303-305-8021
press@ihs.com