Rising Home Prices Push Down Housing Affordability During Third Quarter, C.A.R. Reports

LOS ANGELES--()--Housing affordability fell for the sixth consecutive quarter, after reaching an all-time high in the spring of 2012, as significantly higher home prices shut out more California home buyers during the third quarter of 2013, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported.

The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California dropped to 32 percent in the third quarter of 2013, down from 36 percent in first-quarter 2013 and from 49 percent in third-quarter 2012, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). The third quarter 2013 figure fell below 35 percent for the first time since the third quarter of 2008.

C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The Index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

Home buyers needed to earn a minimum annual income of $89,170 to qualify for the purchase of a $433,940 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the third quarter of 2013. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year fixed-rate loan, would be $2,230, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.36 percent. The effective composite interest rate in second-quarter 2013 was 3.64 percent and 3.72 percent in the third quarter of 2012.

The median home price was $339,930 in third-quarter 2012, and an annual income of $65,828 was needed to purchase a home at that price.

California housing affordability hit a record high of 56 percent in first quarter of 2012. Since then, a lack of housing supply and high demand have driven up home prices sharply and significantly reduced affordability.

Nearly every county experienced a double-digit decline in affordability when compared to last year, reflecting the substantial increase in California home prices on a year-to-year basis. Sacramento, Monterey, and Sonoma counties experienced the largest year-to-year declines, while San Mateo, Marin, and San Francisco counties experienced the smallest year-to-year declines.

At an index of 64 percent, San Bernardino County was the most affordable county of the state, while San Mateo County was the least affordable at 15 percent.

See C.A.R.’s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

     
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
 
STATE/REGION/COUNTY Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012
                 
Calif. single-family home   32   36     49  
CA condo/townhome   41   46     60  
Los Angeles Metro Area   35   39     51  
Inland Empire   51   56     68  
San Francisco Bay Area   21   24     35  
United States   56   60 r   67 r
                 
San Francisco Bay Area                
Alameda   21   25     34  
Contra-Costa (Central Cty.)   18   20     28  
Marin   18   20     27  
Napa   28   34     45  
San Francisco   16   17     25  
San Mateo   15   17     24  
Santa Clara   21   24     32  
Solano   56   63     77  
Sonoma   24   29     46  
Southern California                
Los Angeles   27   37     42  
Orange County   20   23     34  
Riverside County   45   49     63  
San Bernardino   64   69     77  
San Diego   27   32     43  
Ventura   30   36     47  
Central Coast                
Monterey   30   35     52  
San Luis Obispo   23   30     37  
Santa Barbara   17   18     30 r
Santa Cruz   18   20     30  
Central Valley                
Fresno   56   61     69  
Kings County   62   70     74  
Madera   62   71     76  
Merced   60   65     74  
Placer County   46   51     64  
Sacramento   50   56     73  
Tulare   61   66     73  
 

r = revised

 
 
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
       
C.A.R. Region Housing
Affordability Index
Median Home
Price
Monthly Payment Including

Taxes & Insurance

Minimum
Qualifying Income
                 
Calif. single-family home   32   $433,940   $2,230   $89,170
Calif. condo/townhome   41   $346,360   $1,780   $71,170
Los Angeles Metro Area   35   $393,630   $2,020   $80,890
Inland Empire   51   $249,050   $1,280   $51,180
San Francisco Bay Area   21   $704,990   $3,620   $144,870
United States   56   $207,300   $1,060   $42,600
                 
San Francisco Bay Area                
Alameda   21   $652,920   $3,350   $134,170
Contra-Costa (Central Cty.)   18   $789,360   $4,060   $162,200
Marin   18   $958,330   $4,920   $196,930
Napa   28   $509,900   $2,620   $104,780
San Francisco   16   $855,500   $4,390   $175,800
San Mateo   15   $945,000   $4,850   $194,190
Santa Clara   21   $805,000   $4,140   $165,420
Solano   56   $288,220   $1,480   $59,230
Sonoma   24   $460,860   $2,370   $94,700
Southern California                
Los Angeles   27   $448,920   $2,310   $92,250
Orange County   20   $670,690   $3,450   $137,820
Riverside County   45   $292,620   $1,500   $60,130
San Bernardino   64   $182,900   $940   $37,580
San Diego   27   $485,040   $2,490   $99,670
Ventura   30   $550,220   $2,830   $113,060
Central Coast                
Monterey   30   $415,000   $2,130   $85,280
San Luis Obispo   23   $487,500   $2,500   $100,180
Santa Barbara   17   $642,860   $3,300   $132,100
Santa Cruz   18   $625,000   $3,210   $128,430
Central Valley                
Fresno   56   $184,550   $950   $37,920
Kings County   62   $172,920   $890   $35,530
Madera   62   $174,540   $900   $35,870
Merced   60   $163,570   $840   $33,610
Placer County   46   $366,390   $1,880   $75,290
Sacramento   50   $255,900   $1,310   $52,580
Tulare   61   $159,110   $820   $32,700

Contacts

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Lotus Lou, 213-739-8304
lotusl@car.org

Contacts

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Lotus Lou, 213-739-8304
lotusl@car.org