Analysis of the Chinese Mobility Market, Forecast to 2025 - ResearchAndMarkets.com

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The global automotive industry is currently facing several cyclical and structural challenges, and China is no exception to these changes, as its automotive market has been experiencing prolonged negative growth since 2018.

China has been the world's largest automobile market and one of the most reliable engines of global growth for the past decade. In recent years, China's growing appetite for vehicles has accounted for the majority all growth in global sales. However, the economic slowdown, weakening consumer sentiment arising from the trade war with the United States, and the lack of tax incentives to purchase new cars has led the country's automobile industry facing its first contraction since the 1990s.

Additionally, the popularity of shared mobility concepts, such as car sharing, ride sharing, ride hailing, and bike sharing are restraining vehicle purchase demand, as shared mobility solutions offer easy mobility - especially first and last mile connectivity - at an affordable price. Growth in China's peer-to-peer market has been mainly driven by dominant market participants, such as AT Zuche, which has expanded its P2P services to approximately 25 cities with over 200,000 vehicles registered on its platform.

China has been at the forefront of the electric vehicle (EV) space, accounting for more than half of the global EV population. Battery-operated cars are projected to account for 11% of total light vehicle sales by 2025. Electric powertrain adoption and the eTruck parc are also expected to be high in China with its recent technology developments and government mandates. The country intends to become a technology leader in the EV market.

Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) penetration is expected to reach 17.9% in the light-duty (LD) segment, 25.4% in the medium-duty (MD) segment, and 5.5% in the heavy-duty (HD) segment in 2025 in China. Companies such as FAW, CNHTC, Dongfeng, Shaanxi, and CAMC will enter the BEV market by 2020. The Chinese government plans to focus on Fuel-cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs) by keeping subsidies unchanged until 2020; this will increase penetration in the MD segment to 3.0%.

Key Issues Addressed

  • What are the key factors impacting the light vehicle market in China?
  • What are the emerging trends in the mobility market in China?
  • What is the forecasted size of the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks markets until 2025?
  • What are the key factors driving alternate powertrain market penetration in China, including regulations, government incentives, natural-gas reserves, and electric-charging infrastructure?
  • How will the Chinese road-freight brokerage market evolve by 2025? What will be the share of key solution types and market revenue opportunities?
  • What is the current scenario and the future outlook of electric vehicles (xEVs) and natural-gas trucks in China?

Key Topics Covered:

1. Executive Summary

  • Light Vehicle Market in China - Key Highlights
  • Commercial Vehicle Market in China - Key Highlights
  • Electric LCV (eLCV) Market in China - Key Highlights
  • Car-Sharing Market Trends - Global
  • Chinese eLCV Market - Adoption Forecast by Type
  • Chinese MD and HD Commercial Vehicle Market - Powertrain Split
  • Snapshot of New Mobility Services Offered in Beijing

2. Research Scope and Segmentation

  • Research Scope
  • Vehicle Segmentation
  • Market Definitions and Segmentation
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology

3. Overview of the Chinese Light Vehicle Market

  • Automotive Industry Outlook - LV Sales in China
  • Segment Sales as a Percent of Total LV Sales
  • Global LV Sales of Top 15 Chinese OEM Groups
  • Total xEV Market Scenario Analysis in LVs
  • LVs Market - Global HEV Outlook 2018
  • Chinese Hybrid and Electric Light Vehicle Sales Mix

4. Emerging Trends in the Chinese Mobility Market

  • Peer-to-Peer Car Sharing Market Analysis - China
  • Car-Sharing Market Trends - Global

5. Analysis of the Chinese Commercial Vehicle Market

  • Key Regional LCV Markets - China
  • Tailpipe and Greenhouse Gas (GHG)/Fuel Efficiency Regulations in China
  • Chinese eLCV Market - Key Influencing Trends
  • Chinese eLCV Market - Adoption Forecast by Type
  • Chinese eLCV Market - Scenario Analysis of eLCVs
  • Chinese MD and HD Commercial Vehicle Market - Powertrain Split
  • Tailpipe Emissions and Fuel Efficiency Standards in China
  • MD and HD Trucks - OEM Sales Performance in China
  • Global MD and HD Trucks Market Forecast - By Weight Segment
  • MD and HD Trucks OEM Sales Performance in 2018
  • Alternative Fuel Powertrain Market Analysis - Global
  • Electric Truck Market - 2025 Outlook of Key Regions
  • MD and HD Truck Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
  • Global Regulations Outlook - GHG and Tailpipe Emissions
  • Electric Vehicle Charging Stations in Chinese Provinces
  • Public EV Charging Infrastructure in Chinese Cities
  • China Digital Brokerage Solution - $1.0 Billion Market by 2025
  • China On-Demand Solutions - $22.58 Billion Market Potential

6. Analysis of the Developments in China's Smart Cities - Shanghai

  • Shanghai - Overview
  • Shanghai - Smart City Attractiveness
  • Shanghai Transportation Modes - Market Share
  • Snapshot of Transportation Modes - Motorization Rates and Fares
  • Technology Trends and Outlook
  • Snapshot of New Mobility Services Offered in Shanghai

7. Analysis of the Developments in China's Smart Cities - Beijing

  • Beijing - Overview
  • Beijing - Smart City Attractiveness
  • Beijing Transportation Modes - Market Share
  • Snapshot of Transportation Modes - Motorization Rates and Fares
  • Technology Trends and Outlook
  • Snapshot of New Mobility Services Offered in Beijing

8. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

9. Conclusions and Future Outlook

10. Appendix

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/j7vkb2

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Contacts

ResearchAndMarkets.com
Laura Wood, Senior Press Manager
press@researchandmarkets.com

For E.S.T Office Hours Call 1-917-300-0470
For U.S./CAN Toll Free Call 1-800-526-8630
For GMT Office Hours Call +353-1-416-8900