KBRA Releases Report – European Airlines: Clear Skies or More Turbulence Ahead?

NEW YORK--()--Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) releases its European Airlines: Clear Skies or More Turbulence Ahead? report in response to the ongoing challenges in the European airlines sector.

There have been 20 notable European airline bankruptcies since 2015, which has brought the region into focus for investors and other stakeholders alike. Amid continuing market saturation and competitive pricing—exacerbated by fuel price volatility, rising foreign exchange costs, and local euro area economic uncertainty—profitability growth in the region has started to stagnate and is forecast to decline in 2019. But despite these current headwinds, Europe’s aviation sector is poised to remain at profitable levels, albeit at lower levels.

KBRA notes that these headwinds are more likely to be felt by specific business models at risk rather than by all airlines in general, as was the case in post-financial crisis 2009, when the region recorded $5 billion in losses. In other words, airline exposure will vary based on business models, risk management savvy, as well as scale and economic conditions. We expect the European passenger airline market to remain in a difficult operating environment due to oversaturation, declining passenger yields, and volatile fuel and FX costs, which affect airlines of all sizes in the region. The potential for an economic slowdown in the region would further exacerbate an already challenging situation.

KBRA adds that the European airline sector is ripe for further consolidation as larger carriers continue to absorb smaller ones in difficulty—a credit positive for the airlines as a whole in Europe, given better scale and efficiency as well as less competition.

To view the report, click here.

Related Publications: (available at www.kbra.com)

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About KBRA and KBRA Europe

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. In addition, KBRA is designated as a designated rating organization by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider and is a certified Credit Rating Agency (CRA) by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered with ESMA as a CRA.

Contacts

Analytical:

Marjan Riggi, Senior Managing Director
(646) 731-2354
mriggi@kbra.com

Thomas Moore, Analyst
(646) 731-3375
tmoore@kbra.com

Contacts

Analytical:

Marjan Riggi, Senior Managing Director
(646) 731-2354
mriggi@kbra.com

Thomas Moore, Analyst
(646) 731-3375
tmoore@kbra.com