Research and Markets: Greece Economist Intelligence Report - "No" Vote Raises the Stakes for Both Sides

DUBLIN--()--Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/5642v6/country_report) has announced the addition of the "Country Report Greece" country profile to their offering.

In a vindication of Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras, and in line with our forecast, Greeks voted "No" by a stunning 61% to 39% in the July 5th referendum on whether to accept the terms of the bailout deal presented to Greece on June 25th. Despite his strengthened domestic position, Mr Tsipras will face some tough challenges in coming weeks and the risk of Grexit remains high.

The referendum result is an extraordinary vindication of Mr Tsipras and solidifies his position in his party, Syriza Unifying Social Front, and more broadly in Greece. It is a remarkable achievement in the face of unrelenting external political pressure and the difficulties presented by the imposition of capital controls and the closure of Greek banks last week. The Economist Intelligence Unit was the only research organisation to forecast a victory for the "No" camp as soon as the referendum was called. Our call was based on several assumptions:

The decisive result in the government's favour will have caused consternation and dismay in the chancelleries of Europe. Europe's leaders will need to absorb the shock and decide how to respond before a special European leaders' summit on Tuesday July 7th. The referendum result raises the stakes for both sides. It makes it more difficult for Mr Tsipras to make big concessions in order to reach agreement with the country's creditors. It also makes it more difficult for German chancellor Angela Merkel and other euro zone leaders to make concessions to Greece because of the moral hazard arguments. If euro zone creditors were now to make concessions to Greece it would embolden other opponents of austerity and reform in the event of future crises.

Country Report Greece

  • Greek "No" vindicates Tsipras, but tough decisions ahead
  • "No" vote raises the stakes for both sides
  • Can the banks open and can Greece pay?

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/5642v6/country_report

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Contacts

Research and Markets
Laura Wood, Senior Manager
press@researchandmarkets.com
For E.S.T Office Hours Call 1-917-300-0470
For U.S./CAN Toll Free Call 1-800-526-8630
For GMT Office Hours Call +353-1-416-8900
U.S. Fax: 646-607-1907
Fax (outside U.S.): +353-1-481-1716
Sector: Business, Country Reports