KBRA Releases Monthly CMBS Trend Watch

NEW YORK--()--KBRA releases the May 2023 issue of CMBS Trend Watch.

We will start with the good news: CMBS private label issuance, while anemic, seems to be gaining some traction. Year-to-date (YTD) through May, $13 billion was issued versus $7.8 billion during YTD through April—an approximately 67% increase month-over-month. Furthermore, based on our current visibility, as many as 12 deals could launch in June and early July. These include up to five single-asset single borrower (SASB) deals, four conduits, two commercial real estate collateralized loan obligation (CRE CLO) deals, and one Freddie Mac K-Series. We are hopeful that last week’s signing of the debt ceiling legislation, coupled with most of the interest rate increases in the rearview mirror, will provide some calm to support additional issuance during 2H. The bad news is that year-over-year (YoY) issuance is down 72.1%, and other issues will continue to hang over the sector, such as asset price discovery and increasing defaults.

In May, KBRA published pre-sales for four deals ($2.5 billion) including one SB ($0.3 billion) and three conduit ($2.2 billion) transactions. Of the 551 ratings, 526 were affirmed, five were upgraded, and 20 were downgraded. In addition, 48 ratings were placed on Watch Downgrade.

This month’s edition also highlights recent KBRA research publications, which cover various topical issues.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Contacts

Contacts
Aryansh Agrawal, Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-1381
aryansh.agrawal@kbra.com

Larry Kay, Senior Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-2452
larry.kay@kbra.com

Roy Chun, Senior Managing Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-2376
roy.chun@kbra.com

Eric Thompson, Senior Managing Director, Head of Global Structured Finance Ratings
+1 (646) 731-2355
eric.thompson@kbra.com

Business Development Contact
Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 (646) 731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com

Contacts

Contacts
Aryansh Agrawal, Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-1381
aryansh.agrawal@kbra.com

Larry Kay, Senior Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-2452
larry.kay@kbra.com

Roy Chun, Senior Managing Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 (646) 731-2376
roy.chun@kbra.com

Eric Thompson, Senior Managing Director, Head of Global Structured Finance Ratings
+1 (646) 731-2355
eric.thompson@kbra.com

Business Development Contact
Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 (646) 731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com