Fitch Affirms St. Paul Travelers Ratings Following Asbestos Charge
These actions follow today's announcement by STA that its fourth quarter 2004 earnings will include a $922 million pre-tax asbestos-related reserve charge and that the company is considering strategic alternatives to divest its 79% interest in Nuveen Investments (JNC).
The charge follows completion of the company's annual asbestos study and predominantly reflects increased loss cost projections due to elevated trial activity that has resulted in higher litigation costs in recent periods.
However, despite this most recent reserve charge, in excess of $400 million of after-tax catastrophe losses during the third quarter, and $1 billion of after-tax reserve strengthening in the second quarter, largely at SPC, STA will report 2004 after-tax operating income of approximately $1 billion, maintain consistent holding company liquidity and a post a moderate reduction in financial leverage during 2004.
While Fitch recognizes the pitfalls of using a survival ratio analysis at the company level, in large part due to numerous items that can distort claim payment data, it does provide a useful benchmark for comparison to peers. Since TPC significantly increased asbestos reserves during the fourth-quarter 2002, its adjusted three-year asbestos survival ratio has trended downward from 17x at year-end 2002 to 7x at year-end 2003 (11x proforma for the fourth quarter 2004 reserve charge). Fitch's benchmark survival ratio for the industry is 17.5x. However, given STA's aggressive claims settlement practices Fitch haircuts the benchmark for STA to roughly 13x. Utilizing this approach implies an asbestos reserve short-fall of roughly $1 billion, which is considered in Fitch's analysis of STA.
At Sept. 30, 2004, STA reported GAAP assets and shareholders' equity of $110 billion and $21 billion, respectively.
Entity/ Issue/Type Action Rating/Outlook
The St. Paul Fire and Marine Inter-company Pool (see below for list)
--Insurer financial strength Affirm 'AA-'/Stable.
Travelers Property Casualty Group (see below for list)
--Insurer financial strength Affirm 'AA-'/Stable.
The St. Paul Travelers Companies, Inc.
--Long-term issuer Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--7.13% senior notes due 2005 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--7.88% senior notes due 2005 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--5.75% senior notes due 2007 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--8.13% senior notes due 2010 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--$800 million CP Affirm 'F2'.
St. Paul Capital Trust I
--7.6% Trust preferred Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
MMI Capital Trust I
--7.625% Trust preferred Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
USF&G Capital Trust I
--8.5% Trust preferred Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
USF&G Capital Trust II
--8.47% Trust preferred Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
USF&G Capital Trust III
--8.312% Trust preferred Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
Travelers Insurance Group Holdings Corp.
--Long-term issuer Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--6.75% senior notes due 2006 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--7.75% senior notes due 2036 Affirm 'A-'/Stable.
Travelers Property Casualty Corp.
--Long-term issuer Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--3.75% senior notes due 2008 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--5% senior notes due 2013 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--6.375% senior notes due 2033 Affirm 'A-'/Stable;
--Convertible junior sub notes due 2032
Affirm 'BBB+'/Stable.
Members of the St. Paul Fire and Marine Inter-company Pool:
Athena Assurance Company
Discover Property & Casualty Insurance Company
Discover Specialty Insurance Company
Seaboard Surety Company
St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company
St. Paul Medical Liability Insurance Company
St. Paul Protective Insurance Company
St. Paul Surplus Lines Insurance Company
Members of the Travelers Property Casualty Group:
The Automobile Insurance Company of Hartford
The Charter Oak Fire Insurance Company
Farmington Casualty Company
First Floridian Auto and Home Insurance Company
First Trenton Indemnity Company
The Phoenix Insurance Company
Red Oak Insurance Company
The Standard Fire Insurance Company
TravCo Insurance Company
The Travelers Casualty and Surety Company
Travelers Casualty & Surety Company of America
Travelers Casualty & Surety Company of Canada
Travelers Casualty and Surety Company of Illinois
Travelers Casualty Company of Connecticut
Travelers Commercial Insurance Company
Travelers Excess and Surplus Lines Ins. Co.
The Travelers Home and Marine Insurance Company
The Travelers Indemnity Company
The Travelers Indemnity Company of America
The Travelers Indemnity Company of Connecticut
The Travelers Indemnity Company of Illinois
Travelers Lloyd's Insurance Company
Travelers Lloyd's of Texas Insurance Company
The Travelers Indemnity Company of Missouri
Travelers Personal Security Insurance Company
Travelers Property Casualty Insurance Company
Travelers Property Casualty Insurance Company of Illinois
