2019 Report on IRKUT MC-21 - The First Next Generation Narrow Body: Technology & Capabilities, Market Size & Drivers, Comparative Economics - ResearchAndMarkets.com

DUBLIN--()--The "IRKUT MC-21 The First Next Generation Narrow Body" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

The IRKUT MC-21 is a clean-sheet design narrow-body aircraft family that seats between 132-175 passengers in two-class configurations. As an all-new design, the aircraft competes favorably in operating economics with the narrow-body models from Airbus and Boeing.

The MC-21-300 has superior seat-mile economics to the Boeing 737 MAX8 and Airbus A320neo. While the MC-21 does not match the range of its competitors from Airbus and Boeing, it offers full North American trans-continental range and well suited for short-to long-haul narrow-body operations.

The aircraft features advanced technology, including the latest generation engines, the latest generation of materials, including an all composite wing and aluminum-lithium fuselage, the latest in systems, including active side-stick controls, and advanced avionics. The MC-21 is the first of the next generation of narrow-body aircraft, competing primarily with re-engined models of aircraft that first entered service 51 and 29 years ago.

The MC-21 program has been delayed numerous times, and timing has slipped to the right with entry into service now planned for 2020. With both western and Russian built engines available to operators, the MC-21 will be geared towards both export and domestic markets. The Pratt & Whitney GTF engines, combined with new materials, advanced aerodynamics, and major systems supplied by western vendors make the MC-21-300 a strong potential competitor to Airbus and Boeing.

A key element to export sales will be overcoming a relatively poor reputation for Russian aircraft with respect to service and support, exacerbated by UAC's Sukhoi Superjet 100. That aircraft has run into difficulties keeping international customers operating, and IRKUT will need a stronger service and support network to ensure the availability of spares and technical expertise. Geopolitics may also negatively impact sales of the MC-21 in western markets, and while we hope tensions ease, the current disputes over Ukraine and Syria continue without resolution.

The MC-21 will be a strong performer, and the authors independent economic analysis confirms that this aircraft will have compelling economics if the aircraft meets its projected performance. With flight tests underway and confirming fuel burn and other performance factors, the author expects the MC-21 to be the most competitive civil aircraft ever produced in Russia, with compelling economics and low capital costs. If the aircraft performs reliably and can be readily maintained, the author expects it to be a market success, projecting more than 1,000 deliveries over the next 20 years.

Companies Mentioned

  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • IRKUT
  • Pratt & Whitney GTF
  • UAC

Key Topics Covered

1. Executive Summary

2. Background

3. The MC-21: Technology & Capabilities

4. Market Size & Drivers

5. Comparative Economics

6. Program Outlook & Conclusions

Table of Exhibits

Figure 1 MC-21 composite wing preparation

Figure 2 MC-21 composite wing panel

Figure 3 MC-212 automated final assembly line

Figure 4 MC-21 final assembly facility

Figure 5 MC-21 flight deck

Figure 6 MC-21 flight simulator

Figure 7 Pratt & Whitney GTF

Figure 8 MC-21 cabin interior

Figure 9 MC21-300 Seating

Figure 10 MC-21-200 Seating

Figure 11 Comparable aircraft data

Figure 12 MC-21 Operating Cost Chart

Figure 13 Aircraft capacity

Figure 14 In Service Narrowbody Aircraft Market segmented by age 2Q18

Figure 15 Airbus and Boeing in-service fleets

Figure 16 Competitive list price per seat

Figure 17 MC-21 Suppliers

Figure 18 MC-21 Key Partners

Figure 19 Maximum Take-Off Weight per Seat

Figure 20 Fuel burn per seat - 1,000NM

Figure 21 Direct Operating Costs 500NM

Figure 22 Direct Operating Costs - 1,000NM

Figure 23 Direct Operating Costs - 1,500NM

Figure 24 Direct Operating Costs - 2,500NM

Figure 25 Fuel Burn per Seat - various ranges

Figure 26 Crew cost per mission

Figure 27 Landing fees

Figure 28 Total direct operating costs by mission length

Figure 29 Total direct operating costs per aircraft mile

Figure 30 Total direct operating costs per seat mile

Figure 31: List prices of competing aircraft

Figure 32: Estimated monthly lease rates for competing aircraft

Figure 33: Estimated monthly insurance cost

Figure 34: Total Monthly Capital Costs

Figure 35: Capital Cost by Mission

Figure 36: Total Operating and Capital Cost by Mission

Figure 37: Total Operating and Capital Cost per Aircraft Mile

Figure 38: Total Operating and Capital Cost per Seat-Mile

Figure 39: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs 500nm Mission

Figure 40: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 1,000nm Mission

Figure 41: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 1,500nm Mission

Figure 42: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 2,000nm Mission

Figure 43: Comparative Total Operating and Capital Costs - 2,500nm Mission

Figure 44: Direct Operating Costs - 1,000nm - Max Seating

Figure 45: Total Operating Costs - 1,000nm Max Seating

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Contacts

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Related Topics: Aircraft

Contacts

ResearchAndMarkets.com
Laura Wood, Senior Press Manager
press@researchandmarkets.com
For E.S.T Office Hours Call 1-917-300-0470
For U.S./CAN Toll Free Call 1-800-526-8630
For GMT Office Hours Call +353-1-416-8900
Related Topics: Aircraft