Fitch: September Loan Default Reprieve Likely

NEW YORK--()--Link to Fitch Ratings' Report: Fitch U.S. Leveraged Loan Default Insight (Default Rate Below 1% Excluding Energy, Metals/Mining; E&P Subsector Tops 30%) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/887579

September could break a 22-month streak of defaults in the institutional leveraged loan space, as there are currently no defaults slated, according to Fitch Ratings.

"Outside of commodity price-challenged sectors, the institutional leveraged loan market remains healthy, with a default rate of just 0.9%," said Eric Rosenthal, Senior Director of Leveraged Finance.

The trailing 12-month (TTM) institutional leveraged loan default rate rose to 2.2% in August, as three energy and metals/mining defaults from Templar Energy, Stallion Oilfield Holdings and Foresight Energy took their toll. As a result, the TTM default rates for energy and metals/mining stand at 17.6% and 23.4%, respectively.

The E&P subsector has been particularly challenged over the past 18 months, with 11 loan defaults since March 2015. The TTM E&P default rate, a subsector of energy, surged to 31.2% in August. Loans to the E&P subsector total $12 billion, which is significantly less than the $87 billion of E&P bonds.

Fitch expects the default rate for the overall leveraged loan market will end 2016 slightly below its 2.5% forecast.

In addition, the 30-day post default prices on C&J Energy Services and Transtar Holding were both in the low 70's, well above the 39% for TTM first-lien loans. The long-term historical average has been 62%.

The top five largest exposures from Fitch's Loans of Concern list only comprise 0.6% of Fitch's CLO portfolio.

The full report, "U.S. Leveraged Loan Default Insight: Default Rate Below 1% Excluding Energy, Metals/Mining; E&P Subsector Tops 30%," is available at www.fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

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Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Eric Rosenthal
Senior Director, +1-212-908-0286
Leveraged Finance
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
33 Whitehall St.
New York, NY 10004
or
Michael Paladino, CFA
Managing Director, +1-212-908-9113
Leveraged Finance
or
Sharon Bonelli, +1-212-908-0581
Senior Director
Leveraged Finance
or
Media Relations
Alyssa Castelli, New York, +1-212-908-0540
alyssa.castelli@fitchratings.com

Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Eric Rosenthal
Senior Director, +1-212-908-0286
Leveraged Finance
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
33 Whitehall St.
New York, NY 10004
or
Michael Paladino, CFA
Managing Director, +1-212-908-9113
Leveraged Finance
or
Sharon Bonelli, +1-212-908-0581
Senior Director
Leveraged Finance
or
Media Relations
Alyssa Castelli, New York, +1-212-908-0540
alyssa.castelli@fitchratings.com