Man City to Pip Chelsea to the Title Says Bloomberg Sports Data

Bloomberg Sports reveal the final Premier League table with Arsenal in third, ahead of Manchester United and Liverpool

LONDON--()--Bloomberg Sports (BSports), the world’s leaders in sports analytic technology, today unveiled its annual season projections for the Barclays Premier League with Manchester City expected to retain the title. Forecasting the league finish of every team in the league, the projections are uniquely data-driven and take into account numerous years of performance for each club, supplemented by the additional value that each club gained from the transfer window. The BSports 2014/15 projections for the Premier League and other European leagues are available to view now at www.bsports.com/League-Projections.

The title is expected to be a two horse race between Manchester City and Chelsea, with only a point separating the two teams. Manchester City (38.7% chance of winning the title) signings Mangala, Fernando and Lampard will see them retain the title just ahead of Chelsea (38.4% chance) who have also been boosted by the summer additions of Fabregas, Costa and Felipe Luis.

The loss of Luis Suarez is expected to hamper Liverpool’s title challenge as they are forecast to finish fifth with just a 5.8% chance of winning the title. Louis van Gaal’s Manchester United will improve on last season’s seventh place finish and will have the opportunity to compete in the 2015/16 Champions League via the playoffs (with a 62.7% chance of finishing in the top four). Arsenal will also qualify (67.2% chance) for the Champions League for the 18th consecutive season after finishing third.

At the bottom of the table, BSports expect Burnley (57.5% chance of relegation) and QPR (34.3%) to be relegated whilst Hull City, Aston Villa and West Bromwich Albion will battle to avoid the last remaining relegation spot. Newcomers Leicester City are projected to remain in the Premier League with under 26% chance of relegation.

As fans around the world debate the 2014-15 Premier League season, we are once again adding our mathematically-derived predictions to the debate,” said Bill Squadron, President of Bloomberg Sports. “Using the same objective data analytics that drives our Match Analysis tool for European football, we are pleased to reveal our purely data-driven projections for each team across Europe. Our highly accurate projections provide not only great content for fans, but also provide data that helps them beat the bookie.

BSports Projections: updated odds to ‘Beat the Bookie’

BSports League Projections will update each team’s expected points total (ePts), chances of winning the league, chances of finishing in the top four & chances of relegation throughout the season, taking into account last minute transfer window signings as well as most recent league performances and results. All this is achieved by simulating every match of the season 100,000 times to provide an accurate projection for how each team will perform.

Key Numbers:

  • 2.5% chance that all three promoted teams get relegated
  • 83.4% chance that at least one promoted team does get relegated
  • 23.7% chance that Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal finish in the top three
  • 88.0: average number of points needed to win the league
  • 74.8: average number of points needed to ensure a top four finish
  • 36.1: average number of points needed to avoid relegation

Market-Leading Accuracy

Alongside the League Projections BSports’ ‘Match Analysis’ tool will present the likely outcomes of every match. ‘Match Analysis’ even updates the odds of each scoreline every minute during the game, providing fans with unique insights and bettors with pure, math-driven odds that can then be used to compare with the bookmakers.

Last season BSports ‘Match Analysis’ forecasts proved highly accurate, delivering 14.2% Return on Investment (ROI) on match odds across the Premier League, La Liga and Bundesliga. During the World Cup, ‘Match Analysis’ would have delivered 36.54% ROI on match odds throughout the tournament. Last season’s league projections correctly identified Manchester City and Chelsea to compete for the title, with Arsenal claiming the final Champions League spot. BSports also anticipated Liverpool to rule on Merseyside and Sunderland to avoid the drop. ‘Match Analysis’ will be available for football fans and bettors soon at www.BloombergSports.com.

About Bloomberg Sports

Launched in 2010, Bloomberg Sports takes the technology developed by Bloomberg, the leading global provider in data and analytics, and applies it to the vast data analysis opportunities in sports. BSports delivers services for teams, broadcasters and athletes and boasts a consumer tool for European football, “Match Analysis,”; a powerful predictive and analytic tool forecasting game results and scores to help bettors ‘beat the bookie’. BSports has established itself as a leader in data-driven insights and predictive analytics, with feature releases including the annual BSports Power 50 list of Europe’s best performing players, the Champions League projections and advanced World Cup forecasting on www.Bloomberg.com/WorldCup.

Bloomberg Sports was named by SportsPro (2014) as one of “50 Companies Shaping World Sport”, by Fast Company (2013/14) as Finalist for the “Most Innovative Technology Companies in Sport”, and by Mashable as one of the “Five Most Innovative Sports Brands for 2012”. For more information go to bsports.com.

Contacts

Bloomberg
Francois Westcombe, 44-20-3525-8401

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Contacts

Bloomberg
Francois Westcombe, 44-20-3525-8401