SACRAMENTO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Two public opinion polls commissioned by the California Alliance for Jobs, The Nature Conservancy and Association of California Water Agencies show that a scaled-down water bond has a significantly better chance of obtaining voter approval than the $11.1 billion bond currently slated for the November 2014 ballot.
The two polls were conducted back-to-back by JMM Research from July 28 through August 4. The first poll tested the response of 800 likely voters for the $11.14 billion water bond that was initially placed on the November 2010 ballot but, due to subsequent actions by the Legislature, is now scheduled for the upcoming November General Election. The second poll tested the response of 600 likely voters for a smaller, $6.9 billion bond.
A key finding of the polling indicates that, while the state’s prolonged drought has increased voter concerns about the availability of water supplies, voters are nevertheless cautious about how much the state should obligate itself in new bond spending to improve and upgrade water facilities.
Another key finding shows that the credibility Governor Jerry Brown has gained with voters on fiscal issues could have significant impact on the success or failure of a potential water bond.
Increasing water supplies for drought relief was “very important” to 80 percent of likely voters, eclipsed only by 85 percent of voters who indicated that “improving the economy and creating jobs” was very important.
When presented with two options for a water bond to finance water system improvements, a bare 51 percent majority of likely voters indicated support for an $11 billion bond versus 31 percent opposed, with 18 percent expressing no opinion.
When presented with a $6.9 billion water bond option, 58 percent indicated support with 26 percent opposed and 16 percent undecided.
“With the timing and its focus on likely voters, we believe this polling contains the most relevant data available on where voters stand regarding a potential water bond in the November election,” said Alliance Executive Director Jim Earp.
“The existing $11 billion water bond – particularly if it doesn’t have the Governor’s support – is highly unlikely to pass in November. Conversely, even though the margin of support for a smaller bond is close right now, there are no undecided votes in an actual election. Agreement in the Legislature and strong support by the Governor for a scaled-down water bond should capture the majority of the 15 percent who are currently undecided, leading to a solid majority in November.”
Read the full release and the top-line poll results here. http://rebuildca.org/likely-voters-favor-scaled-water-bond/