CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Fitch Ratings expects to assign the following ratings and Rating Outlooks to TICP CLO II, Ltd./LLC:
--$282,000,000 class A-1A notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$48,000,000 class A-1B notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the class A-2A, A-2B, B, C, D, or E notes, or the subordinated notes.
TICP CLO II, Ltd. (the issuer) and TICP CLO II, LLC (the co-issuer) together comprise an arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by TICP CLO II Management, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of TPG Institutional Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will be used to purchase a portfolio of approximately $515 million of primarily senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Sufficient Credit Enhancement: Credit enhancement (CE) of 35.9% for the class A-1A and A-1B (collectively, class A-1) notes, in addition to excess spread, is sufficient to protect against portfolio default and recovery rate projections in a 'AAAsf' stress scenario. The degree of CE available to the class A-1 notes is slightly below the average CE of recent CLO issuances; however, cash flow modeling indicates performance in line with other 'AAAsf' CLO notes.
'B+/B' Asset Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative portfolio is approximately 'B+/B', which is comparable to recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, in Fitch's opinion, the class A-1 notes are unlikely to be affected by the foreseeable level of defaults. The class A-1 notes are projected to be able to withstand default rates of up to 61%.
Strong Recovery Expectations: The indicative portfolio consists of 99% first lien senior-secured loans. Approximately 95% of the indicative portfolio has either strong recovery prospects or a Fitch-assigned recovery rating of 'RR2' or higher.
Consistent Portfolio Parameters: The concentration limitations and collateral quality test levels are within the range of limits set in the majority of recent CLOs. Fitch addressed the impact of the most prominent risk-presenting concentration allowances in the Fitch stressed portfolio analysis.
Fitch evaluated the structure's sensitivity to the potential variability of key model assumptions, including decreases in recovery rates and increases in default rates or correlation. Fitch expects the class A-1 notes to remain investment grade, even under the most extreme sensitivity scenarios. Results under these sensitivity scenarios ranged between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for the class A-1 notes.
The expected ratings are based on information provided to Fitch as of July 14, 2014. Sources of information used to assess these ratings were provided by the arranger, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., and the public domain.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further detailed in the accompanying presale report, available at 'www.fitchratings.com' or by clicking on the link.
Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
Applicable Criteria & Related Research:
--'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' (May 20, 2014);
--'Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs' (Aug. 8, 2013);
--'Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions and Covered Bonds' (Jan. 23, 2014);
--'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds' (May 14, 2014).
Applicable Criteria and Related Research: TICP CLO II, Ltd./LLC
Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria
Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs
Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions and Covered Bonds