NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Fitch Ratings expects to assign the following rating to ALM XIV, Ltd./LLC (ALM XIV):
--$930,000,000 class A-1 notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the class A-2, B, C, D notes and the preferred shares.
ALM XIV, Ltd. (the issuer) and ALM XIV, LLC (the co-issuer) together comprise an arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Apollo Credit Management (CLO), LLC (Apollo). Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will be used to purchase a portfolio of approximately $1,500 million of primarily senior secured leveraged loans. The CLO will have a four-year reinvestment period and a two-year noncall period.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Sufficient Credit Enhancement: Credit enhancement (CE) of 38% for the class A-1 notes, in addition to excess spread, is sufficient to protect against portfolio default and recovery rate projections in an 'AAAsf' stress scenario. The degree of CE available to the class A-1 notes is in line with the average CE of recent CLO issuances.
'B/B-' Asset Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is comparable to recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, in Fitch's opinion, class A-1 notes are unlikely to be affected by the foreseeable level of defaults. Class A-1 notes are projected to be able to withstand default rates of up to 65%.
Strong Recovery Expectations: The indicative portfolio consists of 99.3% first lien senior secured loans, 91.1% of which have strong recovery prospects or a Fitch-assigned Recovery Rating of 'RR2' or higher. This is in line with the seniority profile of recent vintage CLOs.
Consistent Portfolio Parameters: The concentration limitations and collateral quality test levels are within the range of limits set in the majority of recent CLOs. Fitch addressed the impact of the most prominent risk-presenting concentration allowances in the Fitch stressed portfolio analysis.
In addition to Fitch's stated criteria, the agency analyzed the structure's sensitivity to the potential variability of key model assumptions including decreases in weighted average spread or recovery rates and increases in default rates or correlation. Fitch expects the class A-1 notes to remain investment grade even under the most extreme sensitivity scenarios. Results under these sensitivity scenarios ranged between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for the class A-1 notes.
The expected ratings are based on information provided to Fitch by J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the public domain as of June 3, 2014. Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described in the accompanying presale report.
The presale report is available to investors on Fitch's web site at www.fitchratings.com. For more information about Fitch's comprehensive subscription service FitchResearch, which includes all presale reports, surveillance and credit reports on more than 20 asset classes, contact product sales at +1-212-908-0800 or at 'email@example.com'.
Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
Applicable Criteria & Related Research:
--'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' (May 20, 2014);
--'Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs' (Aug. 8, 2013);
--'Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions' (Jan. 23, 2014);
--'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds' (May 14, 2014).
Applicable Criteria and Related Research: ALM XIV, Ltd./LLC (US Structured Credit)
Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria
Global Rating Criteria for Corporate CDOs
Criteria for Interest Rate Stresses in Structured Finance Transactions and Covered Bonds
Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds