Fitch: Global Corporate Default Rates Modest in 2013

NEW YORK--()--Europe's fragile emergence from recession coupled with soft US growth and slowing emerging market activity remained key factors affecting global corporate credit quality in 2013, according to a new Fitch Ratings report. However, macro challenges were balanced by good industrial fundamentals and a calmer operating environment for financial institutions.

The global corporate default rate remained low in 2013 at 0.51%. The emerging market default rate was 1.12% and the developed market rate, 0.26%. In addition, the vast majority of ratings, 81.7%, remained the same in 2013. Downgrades (9.8%) marginally topped upgrades (8.5%).

Rating activity was similar to 2012 across both industrials and financials, with the exception that the share of financial institutions downgraded (8.4%) was down from 12.4% in 2012 and at the lowest level since 2007. Overall, the margin of downgrades to upgrades was 1.3 to 1 across industrials and 1 to 1 across financial institutions in 2013.

Issuer downgrades trailed upgrades for the fourth consecutive year, across emerging markets (0.9 to 1), but by a smaller margin than in 2012 (0.7 to 1). Among advanced economies, downgrades continued to outpace upgrades by 1.3 to 1 in 2013, a modest improvement from 1.6 to 1 in 2012.

By year-end 2013, 'BBB' rated issuers remained more abundant across the mix of global financial and industrial entities - 36% and 43% of outstanding ratings, respectively.

Fitch's new study provides data and analysis on the performance of Fitch's global corporate finance ratings in 2013 and over the long term, capturing the period 1990 to 2013. The report provides summary statistics on the year's key rating transition and default trends.

The study is titled 'Fitch Ratings Global Corporate Finance 2013 Transition and Default Study' and is available on Fitch's web site under Credit Market Research at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com.

The above article originally appeared as a post on the Fitch Wire credit market commentary page. The original article, which may include hyperlinks to companies and current ratings, can be accessed at www.fitchratings.com. All opinions expressed are those of Fitch Ratings.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research: Fitch Ratings Global Corporate Finance 2013 Transition and Default Study

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=738797

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Contacts

Fitch Ratings
Charlotte Needham, +1-212-908-0794
Senior Director
Fitch Ratings, Inc.
One State Street Plaza
New York, NY 10004
or
Mariarosa Verde, +1-212-908-0791
Managing Director
or
Kellie Geressy-Nilsen, +1 212-908-9123
Senior Director
Fitch Wire
or
Media Relations:
Brian Bertsch, New York, +1 212-908-0549
brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com